Gujarat Assembly
election was a semifinal for 2014. Modi of BJP defeat Cong for the third
time. Gujarat was not a simple assembly
election like Himanchal Pradesh. Recent elections of Bihar, UP and Gujarat are
indicator and proof of turning of Indian polity.
Modi is a
prospective PM candidate. This simple news made Gujarat assembly election
comparable to national election. Modi is adorned by foes and friends with many
negatives. The blames are communal, authoritative, personality-politics,
non-acceptability, and skewed development in state.
Apparently these
negatives look true. But he is a very excellent photographer. He knows how to
have a positive (photograph) with a negative. This he has proved in recent
past.
He started
converting communal negative by Sabhawana sabha. Now result proves his success.
BJP won 24 seats which have more than 15% Muslim voters this time. This is six
more than 2007. In Muslim dominated areas BJP did well. In Bharuch it won all
five. Around Ahmadabad it won 17 out of 21. Likewise, it won 15out of 16 in
Surat and 11 out of 13 in Baroda. This is when he didn’t give any ticket to
Mulsims.
He convinced
them by developments. He developed Muslim areas. Industrialization provided
them jobs. Bread and butter are first among all. He assured them of no communal politics. He
created a message of developmental politics keeping all issues aside. Efforts
of changing platform brought fruits. Muslims forgetting old owes, moved on a
new path of development and voted Modi.
He is called
authoritative. Any authority without this quality can’t deliver. He delivered
by his authoritative style of functioning. This annoys many and invites
criticism. But in our democratic system it is must if used for public welfare.
This has more positive than negative if used with a view of delivery. It will
prove a fatal if used for self. The sum of this is in his favor which proved
him a performer.
Personality
politics is the culture of the day. Leaders are trying to be bigger than party.
US president do this type politics. His personality is bigger than his
Democratic party. This is needed to prove first among equals. In BJP, Atal’s
personality was bigger than the party. The only difference is Atal is more
moderate than the Modi. This leads to his criticism.
He has poor
acceptability at national level. There is truth in it. Time is his side to
enhance acceptability among party and allies. If he can Change Muslims by
changing himself, he can improve on this issue. No doubt he made a start just
after counting was over. He went to meet his old friends turn arch rival
Kehhubhai patel. He knows how, when to change. By 2014, he will overcome this
problem. Here he needs to make efforts like his communal image shedding endeavor.
Among BJP, he is
first among equals for PM candidates. His perception for PM candidate in his
party is better than others in public. With winning Modi’s candidature
perception and support has increased. The best part is that he is far ahead in
this race in the party. Modi has his own image among pubic and better than his
party competitors.
In congress,
Rahul is in focus for 2014. He has all weakness without any strength in sight.
His only strength, he is a Gandhi of Gandhi family. This was a strength is
past. But politics have changed the political landscape. This doesn’t mean
Rahul can’t do or not having qualities. But so far, it is not proved. And without
proof how public would believe.
Rahul is mostly
batting from periphery. He never played from center. If played very limited and
seasonal, results were adverse. Bihar and UP elections are some example to it.
He is sufferer of spill over of current governments negativity for which he is
not responsible.
His danger is
more from inside. His party has not embraced the change. It is doing politics
in old fashion. President Obama came to power by adopting the change. Modi is
riding and rising by change. But Cong is not willing to change, hence lagging in
the race of 2014.
Congress is
trying to get back the traditional vote banks. They are trying to take back SCs
vote bank by Reservation Bill and Muslims by showing fear of Hindu face of
Modi. This was norm when nations were having boundaries. In the boundary less
world and internet age with 3D technology how it will bring result. Congress is trying to give a ride to a Fresh
Rahul in a vintage car.
One more issue
needs deep thought. When Cong was single party and player, there was no
competition. Monopoly was working. Now when BJP is national party comparable to
it and regional parties many in number with better performance than ManMohan,
how Cong is dreaming to make Rahul PM in 2014. Why Congress in not taking these
hard ground realities into account to embrace change to win the competition.
In 2009, Cong
had a trump card- Good work of PM ManMohan acted as this card. But this time
all positive is negative. Scams, non performance, sluggishness, inactions are
some cards to be in sight.
What cong think
positive. Are really they? Withdrawal of subsidy of LPG, FDI, cash transfer of
subsidy, giving mobile phone to poor etc are flags to be hosted. The best among is cash transfer but it will
be a seed till 2014. Then one can’t expect the fruits form it. To be tree to
bear fruits it will take its own time.
Cong is thinking
and bringing reforms in Government. But it is not reforming its party and
thinking style to accommodate on going fast changes. How one can win the war
with old thinking weapon (traditional politics) and weak house ( prikarima
culture). This is the new area where cong needs to work to update and to make
itself strong.
Ref:
http://blogs.timesofindia.indiatimes.com/Swaminomics/entry/three-major-hurdles-in-modi-s-march-to-7-rcr-delhi
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